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传奇投资者沃伦·巴菲特发出警告,一场2.2万亿美元的风暴即将袭击银行业,可怕的后果将会持续多年,损失比08年的金融风暴更严重,更多银行将会倒闭,造成一个恶性循环,影响全球的金融市场。08年金融风暴的问题出现在住宅房产市场,当时把次级贷款打包成房地产抵押债券MBS卖出去,同时支撑MBS价格的底层信用“按时还款”出现巨大问题,所产生的一连串奔溃效应。而这次的问题出在商业物业MBS。今年初,纽约社区银行(New York Community Bancorp)股价暴跌73%,受到波及的日本青空银行(Aozora Bank)股价暴跌38%,直到现在都还在低点附近徘徊。商业地产MBS危机如果再次爆发,会造成第二场金融风暴。
00:00 巴菲特预言不幸兑现! 连续第6家美国银行破产!
02:37 银行生意模式自带风险
04:04 房地产债务杠杆不稳
08:19 1.需求变化
08:42 2.融资成本增加
09:10 3.借贷困难
09:42 1.物业价值下降
09:53 2.银行业危机
10:08 3.经济连锁反应
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