In this episode of The Cognitive Revolution, Nathan interviews Samo Burja, founder of Bismarck Analysis, on the strategic dynamics of artificial intelligence through a geopolitical lens. They discuss AI's trajectory, the chip supply chain, US-China relations, and the challenges of AI safety and militarization. Samo brings both geopolitical expertise and technological sophistication to these critical topics, offering insights on balancing innovation, security, and international cooperation.
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CHAPTERS:
(00:00:00) About the Show
(00:00:22) About the Episode
(00:03:48) Introduction and AI Worldview
(00:04:58) AI as a Test of World Models
(00:06:20) Progress in AI Science and Engineering
(00:07:53) Caution in AI Predictions
(00:09:24) Theory of AI Progress
(00:12:00) AI Scientists vs Software Engineers
(00:14:43) Importance of AI Scientists
(00:16:32) US-China Competition in AI
(00:19:15) Identifying Key AI Scientists
(00:21:12) AI Research and Academia (Part 1)
(00:21:28) Sponsors: Oracle | Brave
(00:23:32) AI Research and Academia (Part 2)
(00:26:29) Transformers and Future AI Architectures
(00:28:30) Different Forms of AI Intelligence
(00:30:38) Mixture of AI Architectures
(00:33:10) Sponsors: Omneky | Squad
(00:34:36) US Strategy for AI Development
(00:38:14) Creating an American AI Hub
(00:41:57) US-China Chip Ban and Industrial Policy
(00:45:33) Global AI Players and India's Potential
(00:50:22) US-China AI Conflict and Cooperation
(00:52:16) Avoiding an AI Arms Race
(00:57:33) Risks of Weaponizing AI
(01:06:19) AI Safety and Minimizing Self-Other Distinction
(01:09:03) Critique of the Leopold Plan
(01:16:54) Alternative Approach to US-China AI Relations
(01:19:38) Personal Use of Generative AI
(01:23:36) Outro
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