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The market is at a critical point, observes portfolio manager Lance Roberts.
If the S&P can hold above the 200 daily moving average over the coming week, then the correction will be officially over and stocks should have an open field to run back up to the previous highs (and possibly higher).
If not, then the odds that the recent run have been a bear market rally -- one that will fizzle out and send stocks lower again -- become much more likely.
Lance and I discuss the probabilities, as well as bonds, AI, this week's promising data releases, as well as Lance's firm's latest trades in today's Weekly Recap.
For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.
#bearmarket #bullmarket #ai
0:00 - Lance 60th birthday wishes
3:47 - Status of “sell the rip” strategy
8:30 - Technical analysis & market pathways
15:06 - Overbought conditions & risk management
24:34 - Rising bond yields’ drivers
30:59 - Bonds’ role in portfolios
36:02 - TLT & bond investment pitfalls
43:38 - Emotional investing & risk reduction
49:13 - Sentiment-driven market volatility
52:04 - Economic data & tariff impacts
1:07:21 - Trump administration’s policy momentum
1:22:11 - Upside scenario: economic golden era
1:29:30 - Downside scenario: policy failure.
1:31:17 - Rant: AI’s job displacement threat
1:41:46 - Lance's recent portfolio trades.
1:45:04 - Parting advice: stay unemotional
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