The CIA is (in)famous for its involvement in regime changes across the globe, yet beyond their clandestine activities, they're also responsible with providing various predictions on geopolitical developments. The fall of the USSR was one such occurrence, but how successful was the CIA in predicting the Soviet Union's demise?
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Further Reading:
U.S. Intelligence Estimates of the Soviet Collapse: Reality and Perception by Bruce Berkowitz - https://www.cia.gov/library/readingroom/docs/20080229.pdf
CIA's Analysis Of The Soviet Union, 1947-1991 by Gerald Haines & Robert Leggett - https://www.cia.gov/library/center-for-the-study-of-intelligence/csi-publications/books-and-monographs/cias-analysis-of-the-soviet-union-1947-1991/index.html