Israel as an ethno-nationalist state, won’t last beyond the 2030s | Iyad el-Baghdadi | UNAPOLOGETIC

Author, thinker and activist Iyad el-Baghdadi joins us on this episode of UNAPOLOGETIC to break down the impact of Israel’s war in Gaza and its wider consequences for the region. We explore Baghdadi’s hypothesis on whether Israel can survive as a Jewish supremacist state beyond the 2030s and whether a Palestinian state is still viable. We also discuss what the Arab response to Trump’s Gaza proposal reveals about regional politics. How has Israel’s genocide reshaped alliances, including Saudi-Iran relations, Egypt’s role and the UAE’s stance? What kind of normalisation is possible now, and how does it differ from the pre-Gaza war landscape? Baghdadi also reflects on his own exile from the UAE, the fragility of Arab regimes, and Mohammed bin Salman’s vision for Saudi Arabia. Is the crown prince's vision sustainable, will it work and what is the opportunity cost of his ambition? Baghdadi has also co-authored of The Middle East Crisis Factory and is the founder of the Kawaakibi Foundation UNAPOLOGETIC is Hosted by Ashfaaq Carim Episode chapters 00:00 Intro 02:53 Why Israel won't last beyond 2030s 14:20 Reason 1 - Israel's high-value elites are leaving 24:00 Reason 2 - IDF has a skills and replenishment problem 27:40 Reason 3 - Unsinkable aircraft carrier 31:10 Reason 4 - Israel's cultural relationship with the West 35:10 Reason 5 - Arab Unity 39:00 Arab states and the US 45:47 Arab states and Israel 54:45 How a Palestinian exodus will blow back on Israel 01:01:30 Is bin Salman’s vision for Saudi Arabia sustainable? 01:15:10 What happens between Syria and Israel? 01:30:00 Why Iyad needed to leave the UAE 01:37:30 Final thoughts Support stories that matter. Join this channel to get access to perks: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCR0fZh5SBxxMNYdg0VzRFkg/join Subscribe to our channel: http://ow.ly/AVlW30n1OWH Subscribe to MEE Telegram channel to stay up to date: https://t.me/MiddleEastEye_TG Middle East Eye Website: https://middleeasteye.net Follow us on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@middleeasteye Follow us on Instagram: https://instagram.com/MiddleEastEye Like us on Facebook: https://facebook.com/MiddleEastEye Follow us on Twitter: https://twitter.com/MiddleEastEye