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Grading drafts is foolish a day after, right? Not entirely...depending on how you do it.
This is where many results-based thinkers might be wrong, in many ways, we don't need to wait years to see how good or bad a team drafted.
Most draft grades fixate on two metrics: team needs, "reaches" & "steals". These are understandable metrics, but how accurate are they?
I want to share with you a few different vantage points...and also, have some fun evaluating the Sheduer Slide, the Hunter trade, and how this 2025 NFL Draft shook out.
Quick thank you to the following folks! Well worth a follow on X.
- Kevin Cole, Creator of Unexpected Points
- Brandon Robinson (Creator of Grinding the Mocks)
- Timo Riske (PFF Data Scientist, Mathematician)
00:00 A Historic Draft
05:37 How to Grade Trades
10:09 Ad
11:22 BB and Mock Examination
13:56 Team Needs Analysis
18:18 "Reaches" and "Steals" Historic Analysis
20:47 What Critics Get Wrong
22:35 NFL Draft Grades and Analysis
24:45 "Weapons" Analysis
Quarterback Analysis