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The Uncomfortable Truth About Alpha | Adam Butler

Excess Returns 5,596 6 months ago
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In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with our good friend Adam Butler, co-founder and Chief Investment Officer of ReSolve Asset Management. We cover a lot of ground, including: The challenge of distinguishing investment edge from noise over typical investing lifetimes The concept of return stacking and how it allows investors to increase portfolio diversification The process of determining sources of return to stack on top of stock and bond portfolios The impact of passive investing flows on market dynamics and fundamentals Perspectives on whether AI will significantly boost economic productivity and GDP growth As always, Adam offers thoughtful and sometimes contrarian views on these complex subjects, drawing on his extensive experience in quantitative investing and portfolio management. Whether you're an investment professional or individual investor, we think you'll find valuable insights in this conversation on important issues in financial markets and the economy from one of the sharpest minds in quantitative investing. 0:00 - Introduction 1:03 - Investment edge and noise 5:41 - Implications for alpha-seeking strategies 10:15 - Portable alpha and return stacking 15:52 - Demonstrating edge through simulation 21:19 - Noise in long-term returns 25:14 - Value factor performance 31:09 - Explaining futures yield 36:45 - Managed futures strategies 47:29 - Impact of passive investing on markets 53:18 - Mike Green's thesis on passive flows 59:04 - Recent topics from other guests 1:03:41 - Markets and economic reflexivity 1:07:14 - AI's impact on productivity and GDP 1:11:32 - AI's current capabilities and limitations 1:14:08 - AI in robotics and automation 1:16:58 - AI competing with human experts 1:19:27 - Closing thoughts and contact information SEE LATEST EPISODES ⁠⁠⁠https://excessreturnspod.com FIND OUT MORE ABOUT SUNPOINTE INVESTMENTS ⁠⁠⁠https://sunpointeinvestments.com/⁠⁠⁠ FIND OUT MORE ABOUT VALIDEA CAPITAL ⁠⁠⁠https://www.valideacapital.com⁠⁠⁠ FOLLOW MATT Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠https://twitter.com/cultishcreative⁠⁠⁠ LinkedIn: ⁠⁠⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/matt-zeigler-a58a0a60/ FOLLOW JACK Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠https://twitter.com/practicalquant⁠⁠⁠ LinkedIn: ⁠⁠⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/jack-forehand-8015094⁠⁠⁠

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