ARIMA time series in stata tutorial : "Time series forecasting in stata - ARIMA Models Part 3".
In this tutorial video, we explore time series forecasting using ARIMA models in Stata. Specifically, we focus on forecasting the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the USA. This is the final part of the tutorial, where we verify that the estimated model is a stable univariate process. We cover topics such as checking that the residuals are white noise, the ARMA process is covariance stationary, and that the ARMA process is invertible.
The video walks through how to generate the errors of the model, generate a graph to visualize the residuals, and check whether the residuals are white noise using the Wald test. We also demonstrate how to check that the estimated ARMA process is covariance stationary using the roots graph. Finally, we show you how to forecast the ARIMA model by including more observations.
Whether you're a beginner or an experienced data analyst, this video provides valuable insights and practical tips on how to perform time series forecasting using ARIMA models in Stata. So, if you're interested in forecasting the CPI or other time series data, this tutorial is a must-watch!
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ukGJ0sLgbqI&list=PLsZ8kVwX52ZGXxJ-bqP-WmRBD2HytO4d4
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This is the third and last video of ARIMA modelling in Stata. There are three Videos Total. One for each Step: Ensure to watch them all.
🌐Video 1: ARIMA models in STATA - Part 1: Identification
Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pquD3OjeLFU&list=PLsZ8kVwX52ZEFZsVViYs60lf7idJuKKUO
🌐Video 2: ARIMA models in STATA - Part 2: Estimation
Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mPDNH-rA4OQ&list=PLsZ8kVwX52ZEFZsVViYs60lf7idJuKKUO
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🕘 Timestamps:
👋 Introduction 0:00
📊 Overview of Step 3: 0:38
📊 Recap of our Arima Model 1:50
📊 Testing White Noise 2:14
📊 Checking for Covariance Stationarity 4:55
📊 Forecasting 5:48
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