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Top AI Professor Has 85% P(Doom) — David Duvenaud, Fmr. Anthropic Safety Team Lead

Doom Debates 15,109 1 week ago
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David Duvenaud is a professor of Computer Science at the University of Toronto, co-director of the Schwartz Reisman Institute for Technology and Society, former Alignment Evals Team Lead at Anthropic, an award-winning machine learning researcher, and a close collaborator of Dr. Geoffrey Hinton. He recently co-authored Gradual Disempowerment. We dive into David’s impressive career, his high P(Doom), his recent tenure at Anthropic, his views on gradual disempowerment, and the critical need for improved governance and coordination on a global scale. 00:00 Introducing David 03:03 Joining Anthropic and AI Safety Concerns 35:58 David’s Background and Early Influences 45:11 AI Safety and Alignment Challenges 54:08 What’s Your P(Doom)™ 01:06:44 Balancing Productivity and Family Life 01:10:26 The Hamming Question: Are You Working on the Most Important Problem? 01:16:28 The PauseAI Movement 01:20:28 Public Discourse on AI Doom 01:24:49 Courageous Voices in AI Safety 01:43:54 Coordination and Government Role in AI 01:47:41 Cowardice in AI Leadership 02:00:05 Economic and Existential Doom 02:06:12 Liron’s Post-Show Show Notes David’s Twitter — https://x.com/DavidDuvenaud Schwartz Reisman Institute for Technology and Society — https://srinstitute.utoronto.ca/ Jürgen Schmidhuber’s Home Page — https://people.idsia.ch/~juergen/ Ryan Greenblatt's LessWrong comment about a future scenario where there's a one-time renegotiation of power and heat from superintelligent AI projects causes the oceans to boil: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/pZhEQieM9otKXhxmd/gradual-disempowerment-systemic-existential-risks-from?commentId=T7KZGGqq2Z4gXZsty -- Watch the Lethal Intelligence Guide, the ultimate introduction to AI x-risk! https://www.youtube.com/@lethal-intelligence PauseAI, the volunteer organization I’m part of: https://pauseai.info Join the PauseAI Discord — https://discord.gg/2XXWXvErfA — and say hi to me in the #doom-debates-podcast channel! -- Doom Debates’ Mission is to raise mainstream awareness of imminent extinction from AGI and build the social infrastructure for high-quality debate. Support the mission by subscribing to my Substack at https://doomdebates.com and to https://youtube.com/@DoomDebates

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