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Trading Backtests Are Misleading - Here's what to do instead

TraderLion 17,164 3 months ago
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📘 Get your FREE 115-page Ultimate Trading Guide: https://traderlion.com/YT-UTG 🔍 Next-Generation Stock Screener: https://traderlion.com/YT-DV 📈 Trade With IBKR: https://traderlion.com/IBKR Are trading backtests misleading? In this deep-dive presentation, Lance Breitstein, a top proprietary trader who has made over $10 million, explains why backtesting often fails and what traders should do instead. Learn how market conditions evolve, why blindly trusting historical data is dangerous, and how to develop real trading edge using alternative methods. Discover the power of forward testing, price action frameworks, and causative mechanisms to improve decision-making and trade with confidence. Key Topics Covered: ✅ The dangers of relying too much on backtesting ✅ Why markets evolve & backtests often fail ✅ How to spot major trading opportunities in real-time ✅ The best alternatives to backtesting for building trading edge ✅ Common mistakes traders make when analyzing historical data Enjoy! Richard 🦁 Follow us on Twitter/X: https://traderlion.com/YT-X 📈 TraderLion Masterclass Courses: https://traderlion.com/YT-TLU 📰 Free Trading Academy: https://traderlion.com/YT-TLA Timestamps: 00:00 – Introducing Lance Breitstein, ex-Trillium top trader 03:50 – What is backtesting? Why traders over-rely on it 06:34 – When backtests fail: Market changes & faulty assumptions 09:12 – Why the biggest trading opportunities don’t have historical data 14:17 – How traders miss massive trends by waiting for backtests 19:55 – Real-world case study: Bitcoin’s unexpected rally 25:40 – Why fundamental shifts break historical patterns 30:47 – The role of news catalysts in trend formation 37:00 – How traders blindly trust data & ignore key variables 40:45 – The best alternatives to backtesting for finding edge 41:14 – Forward testing: How to track real-time market shifts 42:49 – Using price action & chart structures to time trades 43:51 – How elite traders spot causative mechanisms in markets 46:53 – Are you using the right strategy for your trading style? 51:19 – Why traders fool themselves with biased backtests 55:22 – Reverse-engineering winning trades to improve strategy 59:01 – The key to identifying major trends before the crowd 01:07:19 – How to adapt when markets shift & stay ahead of the game Enjoy! - The TraderLion Team #trading #backtesting #stockmarket #tradingpsychology #riskmanagement #technicalanalysis #daytrading #swingtrading #tradingstrategy #marketanalysis #priceaction #tradingedge #investing #financialmarkets #chartpatterns #traderjourney #tradinglessons #tradingmistakes #forwardtesting

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