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NASA has discovered a new asteroid that now holds the record for the highest impact probability ever reached, so what if it did hit us?
Probability Update: As of the 24th of February (2025) the chances of the Asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth are about 1 in 25,000. The chances of it hitting the Moon have actually increased to around 1.7%. The most up-to-date information on the Asteroid can be found here: https://blogs.nasa.gov/planetarydefense/
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Chapters:
00:00 They found an Asteroid...
00:42 How do they find Asteroids?
01:50 What are the odds?
02:58 What if it hits us?
05:50 How do you become an Astronomer?
07:02 When will we know more?
08:12 Could we redirect the Asteroid?
09:43 Probability Update (28th Feb)
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Sources:
https://blogs.nasa.gov/planetarydefense/
Check out Scott Manley's video: https://youtu.be/kK5IXX4p2d0?si=SUjF-Ntehm5O4Y3W
Tony Dunn's orbit simulation's were key for this video: http://www.orbitsimulator.com/
https://www.esa.int/Space_Safety/Planetary_Defence/ESA_actively_monitoring_near-Earth_asteroid_2024_YR4
https://neo.ssa.esa.int/search-for-asteroids?sum=1&des=2024YR4
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Written, produced and edited by Kobi Brown
Animation:
Stijin Orlans
Mikael Jutbo
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Footage from:
Some of the key animations illustrating Asteroid collisions and the destruction that follows are from MelodySheep, check out this video: https://youtu.be/FiO7Vyq8Rn8
NASA
ESA
Storyblocks
Pond5
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dd60awNIlEg
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N-OvnVdZP_8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2GkLHpa7zpQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T_jQebmyvQU